Encuesta sobre Presidenciables 2006 (IMO)

PARA LAS ELECCIONES FEDERALES DEL 2006, ¿USTED PREFIERE
QUE LA MAYORIA DEL CONGRESO DE LA UNION LA OBTENGA …?
FOR THE FEDERAL ELECTIONS OF 2006, WOULD YOU PREFER THAT THE
MAJORITY IN CONGRESS WILL BE OBTAINED BY… ?
REPUBLICA MEXICANA MEXICAN REPUBLIC

	29- 30 DE MARZO DE 2005 MARCH 29 TH. AND 30 TH. OF 2005
QUE NINGUN PARTIDO OBTENGA MAYORIA THAT NO ONE POLITICAL PARTY GETS THE MAJORITY	46.9%
EL MISMO PARTIDO POLITICO QUE HAYA GANADO LA PRESIDENCIA DE LA REPUBLICA THE SAME POLITICAL PARTY WHICH HAS OBTAINED THE PRESIDENCY OF THE REPUBLIC	25.3%
UN PARTIDO DISTINTO AL QUE HAYA GANADO LA PRESIDENCIA DE LA REPUBLICA A DIFFERENT POLITICAL PARTY THAN THE ONE WHICH HAS OBTAINED THE PRESIDENCY OF THE REPUBLIC	24.5%
NO CONTESTO NO ANSWER	3.3%
TOTAL	100.0%

SI LOS TRES PARTIDOS POLITICOS PRINCIPALES DEL PAIS DEFINIERAN A SU CANDIDATO A LA PRESIDENCIA
DE LA REPUBLICA EN UNA ELECCION ABIERTA A LA CIUDADANIA, ¿POR QUIEN VOTARIA?
IF THE THREE MAIN POLITICAL PARTIES DEFINE TO THEIR CANDIDATE FOR THE PRESIDENCY OF THE
REPUBLIC IN AN OPEN ELECTION TO THE CITIZENSHIP, FOR WHOM WOULD YOU VOTE?
REPUBLICA MEXICANA MEXICAN REPUBLIC

(47.7% DE LOS CIUDADANOS QUE SI ACUDIRIAN A LA ELECCION ABIERTA DEL PAN)
(47.7% OF THE CITIZENS WHO WOULD PARTICIPATE IN THE PAN'S OPEN ELECTION)

ASPIRANTES PANISTAS PAN'S CONTENDERS	29- 30 DE MARZO DE 2005 MARCH 29 TH. AND 30 TH. OF 2005
SANTIAGO CREEL MIRANDA	40.7%
FELIPE CALDERON HINOJOSA	15.5%
ALBERTO CARDENAS JIMENEZ	13.9 %
FRANCISCO BARRIO TERRAZAS	6.1%
OTRO OTHER	0.4 %
NINGUNO NONE OF THEM	17.9 %
NO CONTESTO NO ANSWER	5.5 %
TOTAL	100.0%

SI LOS TRES PARTIDOS POLITICOS PRINCIPALES DEL PAIS DEFINIERAN A SU CANDIDATO A LA PRESIDENCIA
DE LA REPUBLICA EN UNA ELECCION ABIERTA A LA CIUDADANIA, ¿POR QUIEN VOTARIA?
IF THE THREE MAIN POLITICAL PARTIES DEFINE TO THEIR CANDIDATE FOR THE PRESIDENCY OF THE
REPUBLIC IN AN OPEN ELECTION TO THE CITIZENSHIP, FOR WHOM WOULD YOU VOTE?
REPUBLICA MEXICANA MEXICAN REPUBLIC

(43.7% DE LOS CIUDADANOS QUE SI ACUDIRIAN A LA ELECCION ABIERTA DEL PRI)
(43.7% OF THE CITIZENS WHO WOULD PARTICIPATE IN THE PRI'S OPEN ELECTION)

ASPIRANTES PRIISTAS PRI'S CONTENDERS	29- 30 DE MARZO DE 2005 MARCH 29 TH. AND 30 TH. OF 2005
ROBERTO MADRAZO PINTADO	27.4%
ARTURO MONTIEL ROJAS	16.4%
ENRIQUE JACKSON RAMIREZ	15.4%
TOMAS YARRINGTON RUVALCABA	10.6 %
MIGUEL ALEMAN VELASCO	9.4 %
OTRO OTHER	0.6 %
NINGUNO NONE OF THEM	13.8 %
NO CONTESTO NO ANSWER	6.4 %
TOTAL	100.0%

SI LOS TRES PARTIDOS POLITICOS PRINCIPALES DEL PAIS DEFINIERAN A SU CANDIDATO A LA PRESIDENCIA
DE LA REPUBLICA EN UNA ELECCION ABIERTA A LA CIUDADANIA, ¿POR QUIEN VOTARIA?
IF THE THREE MAIN POLITICAL PARTIES DEFINE TO THEIR CANDIDATE FOR THE PRESIDENCY OF THE
REPUBLIC IN AN OPEN ELECTION TO THE CITIZENSHIP, FOR WHOM WOULD YOU VOTE?
REPUBLICA MEXICANA MEXICAN REPUBLIC

(50.2% DE LOS CIUDADANOS QUE SI ACUDIRIAN A LA ELECCION ABIERTA DEL PRD)
(50.2% OF THE CITIZENS WHO WOULD PARTICIPATE IN THE PRD'S OPEN ELECTION)

ASPIRANTES PERREDISTAS PRD'S CONTENDERS	29- 30 DE MARZO DE 2005 MARCH 29 TH. AND 30 TH. OF 2005
ANDRES MANUEL LOPEZ OBRADOR	74.1%
CUAUHTEMOC CARDENAS SOLORZANO	12.2%
RICARDO MONREAL AVILA	5.2%
OTRO OTHER	0.4 %
NINGUNO NONE OF THEM	4.4 %
NO CONTESTO NO ANSWER	3.7 %
TOTAL	100.0%

EN EL ESCENARIO DE QUE LOS CANDIDATOS A LA PRESIDENCIA DE
LA REPUBLICA PARA EL 2006 FUERAN… ¿POR QUIEN VOTARIA USTED?
IF THE CANDIDATES FOR THE PRESIDENCY OF THE REPUBLIC IN 2006 WERE…,
FOR WHOM WOULD YOU VOTE FOR?
REPUBLICA MEXICANA MEXICAN REPUBLIC

ESCENARIO 1 STAGE 1

		Santiago Creel Miranda	Andrés Manuel Lopez Obrador	Jorge Castañeda	NINGUNO NONE	NO HE DECIDIDO I HAVE NOT DECIDED	NO CONTESTO NO ANSWER	TOTAL
Enrique Jackson Ramírez	16.6%	14.1%	44.4%	7.1%	11.9%	5.3%	0.6%	100.0%
Roberto Madrazo Pintado	15.1%	16.7%	46.4%	7.9%	7.6%	4.8%	1.5%	100.0%
Tomas Yarrington Ruvalcaba	13.4%	15.2%	45.8%	6.8%	12.1%	5.8%	1.0%	100.0%
Arturo Montiel Rojas	12.6%	12.7%	46.1%	8.2%	13.7%	5.1%	1.7%	100.0%
Miguel Aleman Velasco	10.9%	14.3%	47.1%	7.6%	13.5%	5.1%	1.6%	100.0%

		Santiago Creel Miranda	CUAUHTEMOC CARDENAS SOLORZANO	Jorge Castañeda	NINGUNO NONE	NO HE DECIDIDO I HAVE NOT DECIDED	NO CONTESTO NO ANSWER	TOTAL
Roberto Madrazo Pintado	17.8%	20.9%	20.1%	11.9%	22.2%	6.4%	0.6%	100.0%
Enrique Jackson Ramírez	16.6%	22.1%	19.9%	10.4%	22.8%	7.1%	1.1%	100.0%
Tomas Yarrington Ruvalcaba	16.5%	22.8%	19.4%	12.3%	22.1%	6.4%	0.4%	100.0%
Arturo Montiel Rojas	15.8%	21.5%	19.9%	11.9%	22.8%	6.6%	1.4%	100.0%
Miguel Aleman Velasco	12.5%	23.1%	20.4%	12.9%	24.3%	6.1%	0.6%	100.0%

SI USTED FUESE QUIEN TOMARA LA DECISION SOBRE LOS SIGUIENTES ASUNTOS NACIONALES,
ESTARIA DE ACUERDO O EN DESACUERDO CON LA…
IF YOU WERE WHO MAKE THE DECISIONS ON THE FOLLOWING NATIONAL
ISSUES, WOULD YOU AGREE OR DISAGREE ON…
REPUBLICA MEXICANA MEXICAN REPUBLIC

	DE ACUERDO AGREE	EN DESACUERDO DISAGREE	ME ES INDIFERENTE I'M INDIFFERENT	NO CONTESTO NO ANSWER	TOTAL
INSTALACION DE CASINOS (JUEGOS DE AZAR) EN NUESTRO PAIS CASINOS INSTALLATION (GAMES OF CHANCE) IN OUR COUNTRY	33.5%	59.5%	6.8%	0.2%	100.0%
APERTURA DE PEMEX A LA INVERSION PRIVADA THE OPENING OF PEMEX TO THE PRIVATE INVESTMENT	26.4%	66.2%	5.4%	1.9%	100.0%
APERTURA DE LA COMISION FEDERAL DE ELECTRICIDAD A LA INVERSION PRIVADA THE OPENING OF THE FEDERAL ELECTRICAL ENERGY COMMISSION TO THE PRIVATE INVESTMENT	26.1%	66.5%	5.7%	1.7%	100.0%
AMPLIACION DEL PERIODO DE GOBIERNO MUNICIPAL (DE 3 A 4 AÑOS DE GESTION) PERIOD TIME ENLARGEMENT OF THE MUNICIPAL GOVERNMENT (FROM 3 TO 4 YEARS OF ADMINISTRATION)	44.8%	48.9%	5.2%	1.1%	100.0%
REELECCION DE DIPUTADOS Y SENADORES DEPUTIES AND SENATORS REELECTION	25.5 %	69.4 %	3.9 %	1.2 %	100.0%
EXTRADICION DE NARCOTRAFICANTES MEXICANOS A ESTADOS UNIDOS MEXICAN DRUG DEALERS EXTRADITION TO THE UNITED STATES	46.8%	46.4%	6.0%	0.8%	100.0%

SI EL DIA DE HOY FUERAN LAS ELECCIONES PARA ELEGIR PRESIDENTE DE LA REPUBLICA ¿POR CUAL PARTIDO VOTARIA?
IF TODAY WERE THE ELECTIONS TO CHOOSE THE PRESIDENT OF THE REPUBLIC,
FOR WHICH POLITICAL PARTY WOULD YOU VOTE?
REPUBLICA MEXICANA MEXICAN REPUBLIC

	29- 30 DE MARZO DE 2005 MARCH 29 TH. AND 30 TH. OF 2005
PRD	36.3%
PAN	26.0%
PRI	25.4%
PVEM	0.6 %
CONVERGENCIA	0.3 %
PT	0.2 %
OTRO OTHER	0.3 %
NINGUNO NONE	3.4 %
NO HE DECIDIDO I HAVE NOT DECIDED	6.0 %
NO CONTESTO NO ANSWER	1.5 %
TOTAL	100.0%

Y ¿POR CUAL PARTIDO NO VOTARIA?
AND, FOR WHICH POLITICAL PARTY WOULD YOU NOT VOTE?
REPUBLICA MEXICANA MEXICAN REPUBLIC

	29- 30 DE MARZO DE 2005 MARCH 29 TH. AND 30 TH. OF 2005
PRI	41.4%
PAN	23.9%
PRD	15.3%
PT	2.6 %
PVEM	1.7 %
CONVERGENCIA	1.5 %
OTRO OTHER	1.8 %
NINGUNO NONE	7.1 %
NO SE I DON'T KNOW	4.2%
NO CONTESTO NO ANSWER	0.5 %
TOTAL	100.0%

Encuesta Nacional en México sobre el Desafuero de Andrés Manuel López Obrador
National Survey in Mexico on the impeachment process of Andrés Manuel López Obrador

DESAFORAR A ANDRES MANUEL LOPEZ OBRADOR IMPLICA RETIRARLO DEL CARGO DE JEFE DE GOBIERNO DEL DISTRITO FEDERAL. LA DECISION DE DESAFORARLO ESTA AHORA EN MANOS DE LA CAMARA DE DIPUTADOS FEDERAL. SI USTED FUESE DIPUTADO, ¿VOTARIA A FAVOR O EN CONTRA DE DESAFORAR AL JEFE DE GOBIERNO AMLO?
TO OBTAIN THE IMPEACHMENT OF ANDRES MANUEL LOPEZ OBRADOR (AMLO) IMPLIES TO REMOVE HIM FROM THE POSITION OF FEDERAL DISTRICT GOVERNMENT CHIEF. THE DECISION IS NOW ON THE CHAMBER OF DEPUTIES' HANDS. IF YOU WERE A DEPUTY, WOULD YOU VOTE IN FAVOR OR AGAINST THE IMPEACHMENT OF THE FEDERAL DISTRICT GOVERNMENT CHIEF AMLO?
REPUBLICA MEXICANA MEXICAN REPUBLIC

	29- 30 DE MARZO DE 2005 MARCH 29 TH. AND 30 TH. OF 2005
VOTARIA EN CONTRA DEL DESAFUERO I WOULD VOTE AGAINST HIS IMPEACHMENT	58.8%
VOTARIA A FAVOR DEL DESAFUERO I WOULD VOTE IN FAVOR OF HIS IMPEACHMENT	30.0%
ME ABSTENDRIA DE VOTAR I WOULD TO ABSTAIN OF VOTING	11.2%
TOTAL	100.0%

SI AMLO FUESE DESAFORADO Y SE GENERARAN MOVILIZACIONES PACIFICAS A TRAVES DE MARCHAS
¿USTED PARTICIPARIA?
IF AMLO WAS WITHDRAWN, AND PACIFIC ACTIONS WERE GENERATED THROUGH DEMONSTRATIONS,
WOULD YOU PARTICIPATE?
REPUBLICA MEXICANA MEXICAN REPUBLIC

	29- 30 DE MARZO DE 2005 MARCH 29 TH. AND 30 TH. OF 2005
SI, SIEMPRE Y CUANDO FUESEN EN MI CIUDAD YES, AS LONG AS THESE WOULD BE IN MY CITY	35.5%
SI, ESTARIA DISPUESTO A IR AL D.F. CUBRIENDO MIS PROPIOS GASTOS YES, I WOULD BE WILLING TO GO TO THE FEDERAL DISTRICT PAYING MY OWN EXPENSES	4.2%
NO PARTICIPARIA DE NINGUNA MANERA I WOULD NOT PARTICIPATE IN ANYWAY	60.3%
TOTAL	100.0%

DE LLEVARSE A CABO EL DESAFUERO DE ANDRES MANUEL LOPEZ OBRADOR Y COMO CONSECUENCIA
DE ELLO NO PUDIERA PARTICIPAR COMO CANDIDATO DEL PRD EN LAS ELECCIONES PARA PRESIDENTE DE
LA REPUBLICA, ¿USTED A QUIEN SEÑALARIA COMO EL PRINCIPAL RESPONSABLE?
IF THE IMPEACHMENT OF ANDRES MANUEL LOPEZ OBRADOR TAKES PLACE, AND AS CONSEQUENCE HE
COULD NOT PARTICIPATE AS THE PRD'S CANDIDATE IN THE ELECTIONS FOR PRESIDENT OF THE REPUBLIC,
WHO WOULD YOU POINT OUT AS THE RESPONSIBLE FOR?
REPUBLICA MEXICANA MEXICAN REPUBLIC

	29- 30 DE MARZO DE 2005 MARCH 29 TH. AND 30 TH. OF 2005
AL PROPIO ANDRES MANUEL LOPEZ OBRADOR POR HABER INCUMPLIDO CON LA LEY TO ANDRES MANUEL LOPEZ OBRADOR HIMSELF SINCE HE HAS BROKEN THE LAW	36.5%
AL PARTIDO ACCION NACIONAL (PAN) TO THE NATIONAL ACTION PARTY (PAN)	28.1%
AL PARTIDO REVOLUCIONARIO INSTITUCIONAL (PRI) TO THE REVOLUTIONARY INSTITUTIONAL PARTY (PRI)	23.4%
NO CONTESTO NO ANSWER	12.1 %
TOTAL	100.0%

EL PRD A TRAVES DE UNO DE SUS DIRIGENTES PABLO GOMEZ HA MANIFESTADO QUE DE SER DESAFORADO AMLO SU PARTIDO NO PARTICIPARIA EN LAS ELECCIONES PRESIDENCIALES DEL 2006 CON NINGUN CANDIDATO. SI ESTO OCURRIERA Y SOLO EL PRI Y EL PAN PARTICIPARAN CON OTROS PARTIDOS, ¿POR QUIEN VOTARIA?
THE PRD THROUGH ONE OF HIS LEADERS, PABLO GOMEZ, HAS DECLARED THAT IF AMLO IS WITHDRAWN, HIS PARTY WOULD NOT PARTICIPATE IN THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS OF 2006 WITH ANY CANDIDATE. IF THIS OCCURS, AND, ONLY THE PRI AND THE PAN WOULD PARTICIPATE WITH OTHER POLITICAL PARTIES, FOR WHICH OF THEM WOULD YOU VOTE?
REPUBLICA MEXICANA MEXICAN REPUBLIC

	29- 30 DE MARZO DE 2005 MARCH 29 TH. AND 30 TH. OF 2005
PAN	33.3%
PRI	28.2%
NO VOTARIA EN SEÑAL DE REPROBACION AL PRI Y AL PAN I WOULD NOT VOTE AS A SIGN OF DISAPPROVAL OF THE PRI AND THE PAN	19.5%
NO VOTARIA PORQUE NINGUN CANDIDATO NI PARTIDO ME CONVENCE INCLUYENDO AL PRD I WOULD NOT VOTE BECAUSE NO ONE CANDIDATE OR PARTY CONVINCE ME, INCLUDING THE PRD	10.9%
OTRO PARTIDO O CANDIDATO OTHER PARTY OR CANDIDATE	2.1%
NO CONTESTO NO ANSWER	6.0 %
TOTAL	100.0%

VITRINA METODOLOGICA
METHODOLOGICAL SHOWCASE

ELABORADOR Y RESPONSABLE DEL ESTUDIO: INSTITUTO DE MERCADOTECNIA Y OPINION (IMO)
ELABORATED BY AND RESPONSIBLE FOR THE STUDY: INSTITUTE OF MARKETING AND OPINION (IMO)

UNIVERSO DE ESTUDIO:

Población de 18 años y más de la República Mexicana.

SAMPLE GROUP OF THE STUDY:

Population of 18 years old and more of the Mexican Republic

ESCENARIOS REPRESENTATIVOS:

República Mexicana

REPRESENTATIVE AREA:

Mexican Republic

OBJETIVO DEL ESTUDIO:

Conocer las preferencias electorales por partido político y posicionamiento de aspirantes a la Presidencia de la República

OBJECTIVE OF THE STUDY:

To know the electoral preferences by political party and contenders positioning to the Presidency of the Mexican Republic

APLICACIÓN DE LA ENCUESTA:

29 y 30 de Marzo de 2005

SURVEY APPLICATION:

March 29 th and 30 th of 2005

POBLACION DE 18 AÑOS Y MAS:

República Mexicana: 57'937,549. fuente: INEGI Censo de población y vivienda 2000 México.

POPULATION OF 18 YEARS OLD AND MORE:

Mexican Republic : 57'937,549. Source: INEGI Mexico 2000 Population and Housing Census.

COBERTURA TELEFONICA:

36.2% en la República Mexicana tienen teléfono en su vivienda.

TELEPHONE COVERAGE:

36.2% of the population in the Mexican Republic have telephone at their homes.

TAMAÑO DE LA MUESTRA:
SAMPLE SIZE:

ESCENARIO AREA	NUMERO LLAMADAS NUMBER OF CALLS	CONFIANZA STATISTICAL RELIABILITY	ERROR DEGREE OF STATISTICAL ERROR
REPUBLICA MEXICANA MEXICAN REPUBLIC	1,526	90%	±3%

TÉCNICA DE MUESTREO:

Muestreo Aleatorio Estratificado

SAMPLING TECHNIQUE:

Stratified Random Sampling

TÉCNICA DE LEVANTAMIENTO:

Telefónica en hogares garantizando el anonimato del entrevistado

FIELD TECHNIQUE FOR TAKING THE SURVEY:

By telephone at homes, guaranteeing the anonymity of the interviewee

DATOS IMO:
INFORMATION ABOUT IMO:

Teléfonos (phones): DF 01 (55) 55 35 62 39 / GDL 01 (33) 39 15 26 26
Sitio Web (Web Site): http://www.imocorp.com.mx